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May, 2007

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Without Numbers to Prove It, Conservative Green Plan is “EcoFraud”

 

Ottawa – Conservative Environment Minister John Baird must release details to demonstrate how his green plan will achieve its emission reduction targets, Liberal Environment Critic David McGuinty demanded today.

 “Two weeks ago, Minister Baird misled Canadians on the costs of meeting Kyoto, then he followed that up with a plan that scientists and experts around the world have panned,” said Mr. McGuinty.  “Until the minister can produce a single analysis that demonstrates how he will meet the targets and timelines his government is proposing, his emissions plan will never be anything more than an ‘EcoFraud.’” 

 Since the release of the Conservative plan, environmentalists here and abroad have denounced it for its reliance on intensity-based targets and lack of detail.  David Suzuki called it an “embarrassment.” Al Gore called it a “fraud.” Even Yvo de Boer, Executive Secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, questioned why Canada would offer a plan “less ambitious than the commitment it has under the Kyoto Protocol.”

 Richard Peltier, an atmospheric physicist and co-author of a recent UN climate change report, noted last week that the Conservatives’ intensity-based reductions will actually allow emissions in Canada to shoot up “like a rocket” and will prevent Canada from doing what it “need[s] to do in order to make a difference.”  Gordon McBean, chair of the Canadian Foundation for Climate and Atmospheric Sciences, expressed concern that the government’s plan will erode Canada’s international credibility when it comes to engaging other emerging economies like China or India to take aggressive action to mitigate climate change.     

 Last week, Minister Baird claimed that this plan would stabilize Canada’s greenhouse gas emissions by 2012 and maintained that it would achieve absolute reductions of 20 percent below 2006 levels by 2020. Health Minister Tony Clement also chimed in, claiming the plan would prevent 1,000 deaths in Canada annually and result in over a million fewer days lost to productivity losses. And yet the Harper government has failed to offer any detailed analysis and no credible third party has backed up these claims, said Mr. McGuinty.

 According to Treasury Board guidelines, before recommending any regulation, departments and agencies are responsible for producing a cost-benefit analysis that weighs its social, environmental and economic impacts, both positive and negative. To date, the Harper government has failed to confirm that this has been done.

 “Doubts are being raised by other experts,” said Mr. McGuinty. “Even economists are looking for the details to back up Mr. Baird’s claims for a successful plan and are having little luck finding them.”

 David Keith from the University of Calgary, Mark Jaccard from Simon Fraser University's school of resource and environmental management, Don Drummond, Chief Economist at the TD Bank Financial group, and Carl Sonnen, president of Informetrica Limited have all noted the plan’s lack of detail makes its targets, costs and regulatory framework impossible to validate. 

 “At this point Mr. Baird’s plan is little more than a vague yet tightly-scripted message track,” said Mr. McGuinty.